Fans of cold and snow in the U.S. will love this new winter outlook

To make a successful winter forecast for the U.S., meteorologists must examine a dizzying array of factors, from fickle fluctuations in ocean conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean to the decline of Arctic sea ice and related snow cover in Siberia.

Each forecasting group, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which produces the official outlook for the U.S., has their own biases that can determine whether their projection proves prescient or wildly off target. 

One of the most accurate winter outlooks during the past several years has been issued by a forecast group led by Judah Cohen, a meteorologist and devout snow-lover who works in the private sector at AER in Massachusetts.  Read more…

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