This Atlantic hurricane season may be quieter than expected, and no one’s complaining

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At the end of May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its 2018 hurricane forecast, predicting a likely active or above active season in the Atlantic Ocean — though certainly not on par with 2017’s exceptionally stormy season.

But almost a month later, conditions in the Atlantic are showing signs that the 2018 season might be quieter than forecasters initially thought. 

Specifically, surface water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic are unusually cold. When these waters are cooler, it tends to damper the formation of powerful storms, Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, said in an interview. Read more…

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View More This Atlantic hurricane season may be quieter than expected, and no one’s complaining

Hurricanes are slowing down, and that’s very bad news for everyone

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Hurricanes and typhoons — the monstrous, destructive storms that bring extreme wind and rain to coasts around the world — are slowing their pace as they traverse the globe. 

After assessing every tropical cyclone on record between 1949 and 2016, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scientist James Kossin found that the storms have slowed down in every ocean, save the Northern Indian. 

This research, published Wednesday in the journal Nature, concluded these storms are now moving about 10 percent slower on average than they did in the past, though regional speeds in specific oceans vary.  Read more…

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View More Hurricanes are slowing down, and that’s very bad news for everyone

The death count for Hurricane Maria, currently at 64, may be off by thousands

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The Puerto Rican government has a list of 64 dead from Hurricane Maria, the tropical cyclone that hit the island in September 2017.  

This number, however, is “highly uncertain” notes the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). A new study published Tuesday in The New England Journal of Medicine puts that number at an estimated 4,645 — 70 times higher than the official estimate. 

“Our results indicate that the official death count of 64 is a substantial underestimate of the true burden of mortality after Hurricane Maria,” write the authors, led by researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. Read more…

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View More The death count for Hurricane Maria, currently at 64, may be off by thousands

Cyclone Gita, the strongest storm of 2018, slams tiny Pacific island nation of Tonga

What is it with islands turning into tropical cyclone magnets lately? First there was the hellish Atlantic hurricane season, when storms wiped out Domenica, Barbuda, Puerto Rico, St. John and other islands. 
Now the tiny Pacific Island nation of…

View More Cyclone Gita, the strongest storm of 2018, slams tiny Pacific island nation of Tonga

Without climate change context, Trump’s State of the Union rhetoric about disasters rings hollow

President Trump’s first official State of the Union speech began with a reminder of the disasters that have befallen Americans during the past year, from wildfires in California to three of the top 5 most expensive hurricanes in U.S. history. 
“…

View More Without climate change context, Trump’s State of the Union rhetoric about disasters rings hollow